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Prompt Details

Model
(claude-4-6-sonnet)
Token size
618
Example input
[portfolio_holdings]: BTC, ETH, SOL, PEPE, WIF, JUP, BONK, ONDO [time_horizon]: short-term [portfolio_size]: $5K–$50K [special_focus]: memecoin concentration
Example output
CRYPTO PORTFOLIO AUDIT — PROFESSIONAL GRADE ANALYSIS IMPLIED RISK PROFILE: DEGEN This portfolio allocates 35% to pure memecoins (PEPE, WIF, BONK) with zero stablecoin buffer and minimal exposure to fundamentally mature assets. The heavy Solana ecosystem clustering (SOL + WIF + JUP + BONK = 50% of the portfolio) signals a high-conviction narrative bet with extreme correlated drawdown potential, not a diversified strategy. OVERALL PORTFOLIO GRADE: D+ (38/100) DIMENSION BREAKDOWN DimensionGradeScoreKey DriverDiversificationD32/10050% Solana ecosystem, 35% memecoins, zero stablesRisk-Adjusted BalanceD+35/100Inverted pyramid — least volatile assets most underweightedFundamental QualityC-48/100BTC/ETH/ONDO anchor it, memecoins destroy the averageMarket Cycle PositioningC52/100Solana narrative still valid, meme cycle timing riskyStrategic CoherenceD+36/100Two stories fighting each other with no connective tissue TOP 3 STRENGTHS 1. Solana Ecosystem Conviction Has Narrative Legs SOL + JUP + WIF + BONK gives concentrated exposure to the highest-throughput L1 with genuine retail momentum and DEX volume. JUP specifically has real protocol revenue and genuine DeFi utility — this isn't just vibes. If SOL ecosystem continues outperforming, this concentration pays off. 2. ONDO Is the Only Macro-Intelligent Position RWA tokenization is the institutional narrative of this cycle. ONDO at 10% is the sole position that bridges TradFi capital inflows with on-chain infrastructure. It's the only holding here that a fund manager would defend in front of a committee. 3. BTC + ETH Provide Minimal But Real Ballast At 25% combined, BTC and ETH won't save this portfolio in a crash, but they do provide some correlation anchor and will outperform in a broad capitulation where alts bleed 60–80% vs BTC's 30–40%. It's not enough, but it's something. TOP 3 CRITICAL WEAKNESSES 1. Memecoin Concentration Is Portfolio-Destroying at 35% PEPE (L1 Ethereum memecoin), WIF (Solana dog memecoin), BONK (Solana dog memecoin) — you have two nearly identical assets in WIF and BONK. This is not diversification, it's duplication inside the most volatile asset class that exists. In a memecoin rotation unwind, these three drop 50–80% in days, not weeks. At $25K portfolio, that's a potential $8,750 evaporation event in 72 hours. Fix: Cut BONK entirely — WIF has higher liquidity and brand recognition. Reduce PEPE to 5% maximum. Reallocate the freed capital to either stablecoins or a fundamentals-based position. 2. Zero Stablecoin Buffer on a 0–6 Month Horizon Is Reckless Short-term horizons demand dry powder. Without a 15–20% USDC/USDT buffer, you have no ability to buy dips, no exit runway, and no psychological anchor during drawdowns. This is especially critical because you're in the part of the cycle where volatility spikes without warning. You will be forced to sell risk assets at the worst possible time to manage losses. Fix: Immediately establish a minimum 15% USDC position funded by trimming WIF to 5% and eliminating BONK entirely. 3. SOL Ecosystem Correlation Risk Is a Single Point of Failure SOL + WIF + JUP + BONK = 50%. These four assets have a correlation coefficient that approaches 0.85–0.95 during risk-off events. When Solana has a network outage, an FTX-related news cycle, or ETH ecosystem rotation, all four drop simultaneously and hard. You think you have 4 positions — you functionally have 1. Fix: JUP is the keeper (real utility). SOL is the keeper (L1 base layer). WIF or BONK must go entirely. The other should be reduced to 5%. REBALANCING ACTION PLAN ActionAssetCurrentTargetRationaleINCREASEBTC15%25%Short horizon demands more hard-cap stabilityINCREASEUSDC/USDT0%15%Non-negotiable buffer for 0–6mo timeframeINCREASEETH10%12%ETF inflows, underweight relative to BTCHOLDSOL20%18%Core narrative, slight trim to reduce ecosystem weightHOLDJUP10%10%Real DEX revenue, legitimate DeFi infrastructureHOLDONDO10%10%RWA narrative, institutional qualityREDUCEPEPE15%5%Trim profit exposure, not a 6-month fundamental holdREDUCEWIF10%5%Keep one Solana memecoin, smaller sizeREMOVEBONK10%0%Near-duplicate of WIF with lower liquidity and weaker brand Revised Target Portfolio: BTC 25% / ETH 12% / SOL 18% / JUP 10% / ONDO 10% / PEPE 5% / WIF 5% / USDC 15% MEMECOIN EXIT STRATEGY (SPECIFIC TO THIS PORTFOLIO) Given 0–6 month horizon, memecoin exit timing is critical. The playbook: PEPE — Set a hard stop at -25% from current. If BTC dominance rises above 58%, exit immediately. Don't hold through a dominance expansion phase. WIF — Trailing stop at 20% below local high. WIF is Solana-native, so watch SOL price action as a leading indicator. SOL breaks key support = WIF exits first. BONK — Exit now or on the next 15%+ pump. There is no 6-month thesis for BONK that isn't also captured better by WIF. General rule: memecoins should be your first exits, not your last. They pump first and crash hardest. In a cycle top scenario, liquidity evaporates from BONK/WIF before it leaves BTC. FINAL VERDICT Portfolio Archetype: "Solana Casino with Accidental Blue Chips" This reads like a retail investor who made money in the Solana memecoin supercycle of late 2024, added BTC/ETH/ONDO for respectability, and never actually stress-tested the correlation structure. The bones of a decent thesis are here — Solana ecosystem conviction, RWA exposure, Bitcoin base — but they're buried under memecoin noise and zero risk management infrastructure. With a 6-month horizon and real money on the line, this portfolio needs a stablecoin buffer and a clear exit trigger system before it needs anything else. The market doesn't care about your conviction. It cares about your liquidity.
🌀 Claude

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CLAUDE-4-6-SONNET
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